Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using 2018 loop data and historic results, we provide pick to a championship and handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to fight for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one tournament in their own professions, while Logano is trying to secure his original.

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It is not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as“The Big Three“ combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past year. Logano scored two wins himselfbut awakened 25 top-10 finishes to make his shot at Homestead.

Employing historical loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to acquire the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a few other MENCS monitors at 1.5 miles in length, there really aren’t any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers innovative banking, which enables drivers to run lines, with the lane often the fastest.

The track surface itself is also quite abrasive, which wears out tires and makes new rubber a massive benefit.

With tire wear creating automobiles hard to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to select different lines, passing is easier here than at most other 1.5-mile tracks that are too reliant upon aero for pace and so create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I chose to examine the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races might appear a little random, but I chose on that number for two reasons. 2014 was the first year which NASCAR went to the current playoff format in which drivers advance through the game’s playoff until four stay to race to the title at Homestead.

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